Common tasks · design fixture
What agents ask this family to do.
Compare markets for the same event
Read current odds and liquidity
Track resolution status and source changes
Capability family · PR
Prediction
Discover, compare, and interpret prediction-market signals while preserving source, timing, and resolution uncertainty.
Editorial family promise from the locked design. Current lifecycle and proof are shown separately.
- Observed lifecycle
- live
- Observed proof
- quote observed, unpaid
- Published operation identities
- 5
- Observed routes
- 0
How Clervo qualifies · design fixture
Route logic stays inspectable.
Market identity, source health, event equivalence, liquidity, timestamp, and resolution rules are qualification inputs.
Market prices are signals, not guaranteed outcomes. Ambiguous event matching must remain explicit.
Pricing specifics are not inferred from this design fixture.
Example request → result · fixture
One bounded outcome contract.
RequestCompare current markets for the next rate decision.
QualifyPrediction sources qualify for event equivalence and freshness.
ReturnNormalized comparison + source evidence + receipt.
Permanent page rule
The family stays. Operations evolve.
Permanent family identity is presentation authority. Lifecycle, route, price, proof, and supplier state below remain canonical observations.
Open observed catalogPublished operation identities
5 in the current contractCanonical contract
prediction.markets
Search and paginate fresh normalized markets and conservative canonical events.
Canonical contract
prediction.market
Read one stable Clervo market identity with normalized probabilities, freshness, evidence, and supply attribution.
Canonical contract
prediction.compare
Compare two conservatively matched markets and return normalized disagreement evidence.
Canonical contract
prediction.history
Read a bounded hash-linked history of Clervo normalized observations.
Canonical contract
prediction.signal
Derive bounded movement or disagreement signals only when the evidence is sufficient.
Operations in this family
0 observed routesNo observed route for this family.
The permanent family remains in the platform. Current availability is not invented.
Claim boundary
What current authority allows—and refuses.
These lists are live-bound to the current launch-state authority, separate from the design-fixture task examples above.
Supported by current authority
- Derived Prediction Intelligence is publicly callable through exact Base USDC x402 offers from 0.002 to 0.003 USDC.
- Qualified zero-cost pdata supply covers Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, and Limitless with CC BY 4.0 attribution and Clervo transformation.
- Direct venue adapters with unresolved commercial permission remain disabled and fail closed.
- Two bounded owner-funded production operations each settled for exactly 0.002 USDC, returned useful fresh pdata-attributed results, and replayed without another authorization or charge.
Explicitly not claimed
- Customer revenue or demand
- Unrelated-customer demand or externally repeated proof
- Raw pdata proxy or raw feed redistribution
- Commercial permission for unresolved direct venue adapters
- Trading advice, execution, or custody
Observed at 2026-08-11T08:48:34.576Z. Supplier rights: pdata cc by 4 0 derived offer approved. Payment state: public x402 two owner funded settlements and replays verified.